Weekend Forecast 9/23-26

Posted on September 23, 2011 by marcia

from: -Matt Baranowski
-9/22/11 (Thursday)
-8:00pm CDT

http://centralstorm.wordpress.com/

The end of the week is almost here. Time for everyone to kick back and relax. This may be, depending on where you live, the last warm weekend of the year as October is knocking on the doorstep. We have quite a difference in areas of warm temperatures, rainy temperatures, chilly temperatures and normal temperatures all over the Nation. This forecast, which I am going to explain below, will go through Monday Spetember 26, 2011.

Everyone in the west and in the Rockies region is probably going to jump up and down seeing this graphic. Yet others will want to rip it up in pieces. Here’s the situation:
As you can see by the black/white striped going from South Dakota through Missouri up to Ohio and up in the North East fashion. This is the jet stream forecast for the next few days. Now this will fluxuate back and forth a bit but that would be the ‘centered’ point on where that Jet Stream will lay out. Now with that Jet stream forecast brings Major differences in temperatures . With that stream like that, you have a build or a rise in the Stream to the North over Montana and South Dakota. This Jet stream comes from the Pacific Ocean so this would be called the Pacific Jet in MET Terms. Now whats going to occur is that high pressure that is currently their isn’t going to move much. This is going to keep this jet stream at its current place or move slowly throughout days. With that also we have the High Pressure that is forecast to build into the Midwest locations by Friday. With that will bring Cool Air from Canada southward. That means some locations won’t get out of the 50′s in the Northern Great Lakes. Now remember that Low Pressure that I forecast to impact the North East by Thursday days ago… Well it had slowed a bit and timing was just a bit off. So it now looks as North Eastern States will see the rainy conditions all the way through Monday and May be won’t stop till Tuesday. Flooding is a potential but widespread 6 inches like a first Isolated event is not a huge bet. Most areas will see 2-4 inches in that green area. As for the south, pop up storms will likely be in company Friday and Saturday and limit to a very Isolated Event come Saturday Night. Normal temperatures in the 80′s are in the forecast. Quick jump back to the Midwest and Great lakes… Not only will you see rainy off and on conditions but it will be chilly too. So please, you can catch a cold from this weather as conditions are expected to go back to the 80′s by Wednesday.

Forecast by Color:
-Orange Area: Warm Temperature. Humid farther south you get but not un controllable humid. Due to the high, Severe weather and rain in general is not likely. Temperatures in the 80′s in the north and middle areas and 90′s are a potential down south.

-Blue: A chilly, overcast and miserable weekend as that low pressure spins and you get the backside shower activity. Won’t be a wash out but it definitively will be cool with temps in the 50′s and 60′s.

-White: Normal Temperatures for this time of year. Not crazily hot with temperatures in the 80′s. Shower or a storm is a potential on Friday and Saturday but could also occur on Monday.

-Green: Like the Great Lakes Region, A miserable weekend. Some rains that fall could “train” and cause flooding so stay tuned and turn around don’t drown. Temperatures also chilly in the mid to upper 60′s. Most areas will see 1-4 inch rains depending on location.

Hope Everyone has a great weekend! Enjoy the warm weather while it lasts! (Excuse my mistake in the word “Overcast” in the graphic. Stay tuned to Storm Central for the latest on Ophelia. We will have the latest breaking news if anything changes.

-Rate by Stars!

Pipes Across the Nation Burst as US Water Infrastructure Rapidly Fails

Posted on August 22, 2011 by jolyon

Hugh Pickens, Slashdot.com contributor, writes:

“Thom Patterson writes that, triggered by this summer’s record high temperatures, hundreds of crucial water pipelines have burst across the nation, temporarily shutting off water to countless consumers just when they need it most — a clear sign that Americans should brace for more water interruptions, accompanied by skyrocketing water bills. “It’s the heat and the high water usage,” says Debbie Ragan of Oklahoma City’s Utilities Department, adding that as days of 100 degree-plus temperatures bake the region, the utility has reported 685 water main breaks since July alone, four times the normal rate. Much of the nation’s underground water lines are 80 to 100 years old — and approaching the end of their lives as the shifting climate brings more droughts, record high temperatures and other weather conditions that will damage water infrastructure.”

Tuesday Could Bring Severe Weather

Posted on August 22, 2011 by marcia

Tuesday could be BIG for Severe Weather

Posted: August 21, 2011 by Storm Central in Uncategorized

Tuesday could lead to interesting day for Severe Weather. With a un seasonal dip in the Jet over the Midwest, we could see a nice severe weather day for portions of the Midwest. As of now, tornadoes don’t look like a huge threat but the chance is a bit higher from previous summer outlooks. States included would be: IL, WIS, Iowa, MN, MO and this outlook below will likely expand. Graphical Updates tomorrow on this situation.
The area below will likely go to a 30% chance by tonight by the SPC.

Most Extreme July on Record

Posted on August 9, 2011 by marcia

fr/Dr. Jeff Masters, an analysis of weather in July:

According to the National Climatic Data Center‘s Climate Extremes Index, July 2011 was the most extreme July on record (since 1910) with a value of 37%. The Climate Extremes Index is created by merging the various climate indicators (drought, flood, extreme heat, extreme cold, etc.) into an index that can be tracked over time. This month’s record CEI was due to extreme warm minimum temperatures across the country, wet northern Plains and Great Lakes, extreme warm maximum temperatures, and the severe drought across the South and Gulf Coast.

It was the fourth warmest July on record for the nation, and the fourth warmest month overall with an average temperature of 77°F. Extreme heat continued to bake the South, and Oklahoma and Texas both had their warmest months on record. Oklahoma’s statewide average temperature was a remarkable 88.9°F in July, which is the warmest monthly statewide average for any state in any month. Dallas, Texas hit or exceeded 100°F on 30 out of the 31 days in July. For the entire South climate region, which comprises Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi, July 2011 was the warmest month on record for any of the climate regions.

As we noted in a previous blog, an unprecedented area of exceptional drought covered the United States in July, the largest area in the history of the U.S. Drought Monitor. 75% of Texas was in an exceptional drought, and the entire state of Oklahoma was in moderate to exceptional drought in July. The NCDC estimates that it would take 20 inches of rain to end the drought in one month in the worst hit areas of Oklahoma and Texas.

Weather Changes to Come for West Coast

Posted on July 21, 2011 by marcia

West coast cooler than normal, heatwave and humidity to hit toward the end of the month

Published on July 18, 2011 8:20 pm PT
– By Kevin Martin – Senior Meteorologist
– Article Editor and Approved – Ron Jackson

No larger image

(TheWeatherSpace.com) — Cooler than normal temperatures continue for the Western Coast of the United States as trough hangs tight.

Rain fell in parts of Northern California and Southern Oregon on Monday and this will move east for your Tuesday. A frontal zone will bring rain to the Seattle and Portland areas on Thursday. This is not a flooding hazard, but it will drop some rainfall in these spots.

As for the rest of the coastal areas, Southern California is in the middle of a ridge to the east and a trough over the Pacific Northwest. The trough seems to be winning as thunderstorms are confined in the state of Arizona.

Calgary Tornado

Posted on July 16, 2011 by marcia

Tornado surprises Calgary residents, forecasters

BY BILL KAUFMANN ,CALGARY SUN

FIRST POSTED: THURSDAY, JULY 14, 2011 6:44:53 EDT PM

CALGARY – The small tornado that hit the city ambushed residents and meteorologists alike — and it could happen again, said an Environment Canada official.

Citizens can’t depend entirely on forecasters for extreme weather warnings, meteorologist Bill McMurtry said in the wake of a weak twister that ripped through a southwest community.

“You can’t always rely on someone issuing warnings — there are situations where we’re not going to catch everything,” said McMurtry.

“Sometimes, the best warning is what you see yourself….it’s unfortunate such an event happened over a large urban area. It’s a challenging event for us.”

Flooding in North Dakota

Posted on June 23, 2011 by marcia

Posted at 11:17 AM ET, 06/23/2011

Minot, N.D., floods and thousands evacuate [PHOTOS]

By Elizabeth Flock

Flooding from the Souris river sweeps across the landscape on the outskirts of Minot, N.D., June 22. (Christian Randolph – AP)As many as 10,000 people raced to evacuate the area Wednesday as water from the Souris River began spilling over the levees in Minot, N.D.

Happy Solstice!

Posted on June 21, 2011 by marcia

CHANGE OF SEASONS: Today marks the beginning of northern summer. The change of seasons occurs on June 21st at precisely 17:16 UT (1:16 p.m. EDT) when the sun reaches its highest point on the celestial sphere. Because Earth’s seasons are reversed in the two hemispheres, today is also the beginning of southern winter. Happy Solstice!

fr/spaceweather.com

Huzzah, summer solstice? At South Pole, winter solstice is party time.

Tuesday is the summer solstice in the Northern Hemisphere. For research teams toiling at the South Pole, though, it’s the winter solstice and, oh boy, are they happy about it!

Revelers cheer as the sun finally breaks through the clouds more than a couple of hours after sunrise during the summer solstice at Stonehenge, near Salisbury in England, on Tuesday, June 21.

Matt Dunham/AP

Heatwave Building In West

Posted on June 21, 2011 by marcia

First heatwave of Summer strikes Southwest, monsoonal moisture seen in the long range

Published on June 20, 2011 11:25 pm PT
– By Kevin Martin – Senior Meteorologist – Article Editor and Approved – Warren Miller

(TheWeatherSpace.com) — A heatwave is building out in the Southwestern part of the country and this will be followed by the start of the monsoonal moisture chances.
It is the beginning of Summer and with that comes a High Heat Warning issued at the Southern California Weather Authority. A ridge of high pressure will be parked overhead for the better part of this week.

Chromographics Institute

Color + Art = Healing

Tag Archives: weather