Dr. Gilbert Doctorow said that he doubts Russian President Putin will respond to Ukraine’s incursions, backed by the US, UK and France, with nuclear force. He said it is more likely that Russia would demolish Kiev, followed by attacks on Poland because it is assisting Ukraine and facilitating shipments of US weapons across the border. Military bases and manufacturing facilities in Germany, England and France may become targets for Russia forces.

Dr. Doctorow said that there is concern that any attack by Russia on Poland would trigger Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty for other NATO members to respond militarily. He said that Article 5 does not require other NATO members respond, it is simply a framework for them to respond.